Distribution as a Stock Market Tool™
Radio Interview 1
Distribution as a Stock Market Tool on Bloomberg Radio
"Taking Stock" with Pimm Fox January 11, 2010
Hear Charlie Gawlak in a an interview with Pimm Fox on from the Bloomberg Radio show "Taking Stock." Pimm and Charlie Discuss the use of Distribution as a Stock Market Tool.
About Us
Charles A. Gawlak has over 12 years of experience in equity research and 12 years of small business management practice. Mr. Gawlak has held analyst positions with SoundView Technology Group, Inc.; R. F. Lafferty & Co, Inc.; and Bannockburn Partners, LLC. Charles has made numerous TV and radio appearances on the Bloomberg Network and CNBC’s “Power Lunch.” He holds a B.S. in Finance from the
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Charles Gawlak
Charles Gawlak & Associates, LLC
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Former
By Rob Varnon STAFF WRITER Posted: 05/13/2009 09:51:54 PM EDT
Advocate, The (
May 14, 2009
Page: A015
Analyst starts investment system
Rob Varnon
By Rob Varnon STAFF WRITER
In the wake of Bernard Madoff's Ponzi scheme and other scandals, investors should be
digging a little deeper for information and taking charge of their investment futures.
And that's what Charlie Gawlak, a former analyst with SoundView Technology Group, is
hoping to tap into. SoundView was a local investment bank bought out by Charles
Schwab.
"I would love for this to become the starting point of an investor's breakfast," he said
about the launch of www.stockmarketdistribution.com, an analytical service and
newsletter.
Gawlak spent years developing his own system, called Distribution as a Stock Market
Tool, to track trends in commodities and the equities market. A few weeks ago, he began
signing subscribers for his daily market update. He would not disclose how many people
have subscribed to the investment letter.
Gawlak said getting his newsletter amounts to receiving a 45-page e-mail detailing the
trends in 41 market subsectors that Gawlak tracks. He describes markets as overbought or
oversold, based on how many points the stocks are trading over or under their 25-week
moving average.
For example, Gawlak said if a sector is three points above its average, it's overbought. If
it's three points below its average, it's oversold.That doesn't mean a person should automatically sell the overbought and buy theoversold, Gawlak said, though there are some who might choose to play the market that way. Gawlak said if there's one thing he's learned in the 12 years he's spent in researchand another 12 in management, it's that you can't discount the human element in the market. There are occasions when overbought might be the beginning of a larger rally, hesaid, and oversold might be indicative of a longer-term malaise.
Susan Mangiero, president of Trumbull-based Pension Governance Inc., said people
really need to do their homework in this market. Mangiero has more than 20 years of experience on the buy and sell sides in capital markets, trading, global treasury, asset-liability management, portfolio management, economic and investment analysis, derivatives, financial risk control and valuation. Her firm advises pension funds on risk management. She is not endorsing Gawlak's product or any other at this time, but she agreed to discuss the issue of investment letter advice in
general.
What she's hearing from a lot of clients is that they are encountering "information
overload"; there is so much information being thrown at them that it's difficult to know
what it is. And in the realm of investment letters, Mangiero said it can be difficult to get
noticed. She said background and track records are important when it comes to attracting
subscribers. There has to be value in the letter.
"Numbers alone may give an investor comfort but fail to tell the whole story about a
particular security or market sector," she said. "It is critical to understand what drives
prices in the short run and what factors are expected to influence long-term value. Riskadjusting returns is essential, as is the ability to project what is likely to occur in the
future. Economic conditions can change rapidly. Looking backwards is seldom a gauge
of what could happen next."
Gawlak delivers his own take on market directions in his letter. He said precious metals
are overbought, but if you look specifically at gold, "it has not outperformed." He said that has implications for not only gold as a commodity, but also for other sectors, because the lack of a big up or down movement in gold indicates that "we're not out of the woods
yet."
There are thousands of letters to choose from. Many focus on niche markets, while others
offer larger trend advice and have an established reputation.
To kick-start investors' confidence in his letter, Gawlak is offering a two-month trial
subscription for $35. It includes a copy of Gawlak's booklet on his Distribution as a Stock Market Tool system.
Copyright (c) 2009, Southern Connecticut Newspapers, Inc.
For release September 14, 2009
Charles Gawlak & Associates, LLC, of
The system uses Bell Curve analysis of the number of standard deviations for each stock compared to its 25-day Moving Average. The skew of the curve indicates the market condition. A skew to the right indicates money inflows or buying of the stocks in the sector or market, while a skew to the left indicates outflows or selling. A quick scan of the “skews” of the sector graphs helps investors determine the sectors seeing the most inflows and outflows, typically attributed to “smart money” buying and selling. This information can be used to help understand market movements, to decide where to allocate capital, and to make near-term trading or sector rotation decisions.
“Active investing involves buying stocks expected to out-perform and selling stocks expected to under-perform. Distribution as a Stock Market Tool™ helps identify those sectors and stocks,” according to Charles Gawlak, author of the newsletter. “There is immense educational value for performing Distribution analysis for investors of all skill levels, whether they are new to the markets or long-term professionals. Investors learn by assessing money flows in relation to current news events. Due to the fast-paced nature of today’s news media, investors do not always get a complete picture of the sub-sector movements. Following Distribution can lay a framework for how to react to these events both now and in the future.”
About Distribution as a Stock Market Tool™ (DAASMT)
DAASMT is a 75-page daily email newsletter produced by Charles Gawlak & Associates, LLC,
For more information, contact;
Charles Gawlak
Charles Gawlak & Associates, LLC
(203) 653-3488
Online at www.stockmarketdistribution.com
Press Release
NEW STOCK MARKET TREND SYSTEM DEVELOPED BY
For release May 5, 2009
A new method of understanding trends in stocks has been developed by a
“The underlying sub-sector movements are not always obvious,” says Charles Gawlak. “We use Distribution charts and tables combined with Market Capitalization changes to provide an overall view of the market and the sub-sectors. This is useful in gauging the near-term direction of the overall market and each of the sub-sectors.” The system is now available to the public in a daily newsletter titled “Distribution as a Stock Market Tool™.”
With over 4,700 stocks on the N.Y.S.E. and NASDAQ exchanges sorted into 41 sub-sectors, it can be difficult to identify the best trading opportunities. At a glance, distribution charts:
· Quickly identify which sectors have been receiving the most attention by positive or negative cash flows
· Deliver an assessment of current market conditions and the potential near-term direction
· Are useful to investors deciding where to shift capital or put new capital to work
· Help identify near-term sector-rotation strategy targets
The system uses Bell Curve analysis of the number of standard deviations of each stock compared to its 25-day Moving Average. The skew of the curves indicates the market conditions. A quick scan of the “skews” of the sector graphs helps investors understand what market sectors are affected by recent news and events as well as what sectors are moving in relation to upcoming events. This provides information to help active investors further identify and understand market movements and how to react to them now and in the future.
For more information, contact;
Charles Gawlak
Charles Gawlak &Associates
(203) 653-3488
Online at www.stockmarketdistribution.com